# Pluralistic Ignorance: Why We Conclude We Are the Only Ones Struggling

*Science · Science Desk · Published 2026-11-09T19:40:43Z*

Canonical: https://amk.news/article/pluralistic-ignorance-why-we-conclude-we-are-the-only-ones-struggling

> Pluralistic ignorance describes the phenomenon where a majority of group members privately reject a norm but believe that everyone else accepts it. This collective misperception often leads individuals to conform to behaviors they personally disagree with, simply because they assume they are alone in their dissent.

## Key points

- In 1968, social psychologists Bibb Latané and John Darley demonstrated social inhibition at Columbia University when participants ignored smoke in a waiting room.
- In 1993, researchers Deborah Prentice and Dale Miller explored drinking culture at Princeton University and found students misperceived peer comfort levels.
- In 2017, economist Leonardo Bursztyn surveyed 500 married men in Riyadh to examine misperceived social norms regarding women working outside the home.

In 1968, at Columbia University, researchers witnessed a chilling display of social inhibition: white smoke began to drift into a waiting room, yet most participants chose to remain seated, ignoring the potential fire because others in the room appeared unconcerned. Social psychologists Bibb Latané and John Darley had invited male students to the dormitory to discuss the challenges of university life in a big city. While students filled out a preliminary questionnaire, a substance resembling smoke—actually titanium dioxide—was pumped through a small vent. When participants were alone, 75 percent reported the smoke within minutes. However, when placed with two confederates who were instructed to ignore the smoke and shrug it off, only 10 percent of the participants alerted the researchers. Most chose to cough, rub their eyes, and continue working, even as the room grew hazy.

**In this article:**

- Why participants who ignored the smoke rationalized the danger away.
- The disconnect between an individual’s internal anxiety and their external display of calm.
- How groups at Princeton adhered to drinking norms they secretly disliked.
- The measurable impact on women's employment in Riyadh when social perceptions were corrected.

## Why do people mistake smoke for steam?

When questioned after the experiment, those who failed to report the smoke never considered the possibility of a fire. Most dismissed it as steam or air-conditioning vapor, while others assumed it was a deliberate, harmless effect meant to simulate city conditions. A few even speculated it was a psychological test. Most participants claimed they were not influenced by the reactions of others in the room, yet the group dynamic tells a different story. In groups of three participants who were all strangers, the expected rate of reporting should have been nearly 98 percent, but in practice, it occurred in only three out of eight groups. Each individual looked at the stoic faces of others to gauge the level of threat, unwittingly providing the same misleading signal of indifference back to the group.

This cognitive bias, known as pluralistic ignorance, was identified decades earlier by Floyd Allport and his student Daniel Katz at Syracuse University. In their 1931 study of student attitudes, they found that members of fraternities often personally supported admitting minority students but voted against it because they incorrectly assumed their peers were opposed. Each student mistakenly believed their own progressive views were in the minority.

## Why do students stay silent in the classroom?

In 1987, Dale Miller and Cathy McFarland moved this inquiry into the classroom. When participants were given an intentionally confusing text, they hesitated to ask for help, fearing embarrassment. However, they consistently overestimated the number of other students who understood the material. While individuals attributed their own silence to a fear of public shame, they attributed the silence of others to genuine comprehension. This cycle creates a scenario where, even when half the room is struggling, every student assumes they are the only one, because they interpret the collective silence as a sign of mastery rather than shared uncertainty.

_A lecture hall at the Istanbul University Faculty of Science and Letters. In a large hall, when a student remains silent, others often interpret that silence as a sign of comprehension. Photo: SALT Research, Sedad Hakkı Eldem Archive._

## How does pluralistic ignorance influence social behaviors from Princeton to Riyadh?

In 1993, researchers Deborah Prentice and Dale Miller explored drinking culture at Princeton University. Students were asked to rate their own comfort level with campus drinking habits versus their perception of the average student's comfort. The results revealed a significant gap: students rated themselves as significantly less comfortable than they perceived the average peer to be. This suggests that the majority was imagining a norm that was far more permissive than their own personal comfort levels allowed. A similar study by economist Leonardo Bursztyn and his team in Saudi Arabia demonstrated the high stakes of this bias. In 2017, they surveyed 500 married men in Riyadh and found that 87 percent personally supported women working outside the home, yet they believed only 63 percent of their peers shared this view. When the researchers revealed the actual level of support, the participants were significantly more likely to sign their wives up for employment-finding applications, leading to measurable increases in job interviews months later.

## What happens when the truth is revealed?

When the reality of public sentiment is finally revealed, the social pressure holding up a false consensus can collapse. Katz and Schanck noted in 1938 that during the Prohibition era in the United States, public support for the ban was sustained by a lack of accurate information; once the true, widespread disapproval became apparent, the policy lost its mandate. However, simply revealing data is not always a panacea. Recent reviews by Miller suggest that correcting these perceptions does not always shift behavior immediately. In the Riyadh study, the most enduring change was not an immediate surge in employment, but a shift in how men perceived their neighbors, suggesting that pluralistic ignorance is often rooted more in our assumptions about others than in our own core values.

## Notes and Sources

- B. Latané and J. M. Darley (1968), “Group inhibition of bystander intervention in emergencies”, *Journal of Personality and Social Psychology*, 10(3), 215-221.
- B. Latané and J. M. Darley (1969), “Bystander “apathy””, *American Scientist*, 57(2), 244-268.
- D. Katz and F. H. Allport (1931), *Student Attitudes: A Report of the Syracuse University Research Study*, Craftsman Press.
- D. T. Miller (2023), “A century of pluralistic ignorance: what we have learned about its origins, forms, and consequences”, *Frontiers in Social Psychology*, 1, 1260896.
- D. T. Miller and C. McFarland (1987), “Pluralistic ignorance: When similarity is interpreted as dissimilarity”, *Journal of Personality and Social Psychology*, 53(2), 298-305.
- D. A. Prentice and D. T. Miller (1993), “Pluralistic ignorance and alcohol use on campus: Some consequences of misperceiving the social norm”, *Journal of Personality and Social Psychology*, 64(2), 243-256.
- L. Bursztyn, A. L. González and D. Yanagizawa-Drott (2020), “Misperceived Social Norms: Women Working Outside the Home in Saudi Arabia”, *American Economic Review*, 110(10), 2997-3029.
- D. Katz and R. L. Schanck (1938), *Social Psychology*, Wiley, p. 175.

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