Several governors from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) are said to be holding exploratory talks with former president Atiku Abubakar to forge a new political bloc, according to reports from Premium Times Nigeria and UA.NEWS. The nascent grouping, referred to in media circles as the “Rainbow Coalition,” is reportedly intended to blunt the expanding influence of Nyesom Wike, the governor of Rivers State and a leading figure in the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

Background and stakes

President Bola Tinubu, also of the APC, secured a narrow victory in the 2023 presidential election, inheriting a party fractured along regional and personal lines. Atiku Abubakar, the PDP’s 2023 presidential candidate, remains a prominent national figure and is positioning himself for a potential run in 2027. Governor Wike, who has cultivated a reputation as a power broker within the PDP and beyond, has been increasingly vocal about his ambitions, including a pledge to confront Atiku in the next electoral cycle.

Negotiations among aggrieved governors

According to Naija News, the governors describing themselves as “aggrieved” claim they are not intimidated by Tinubu’s waning popularity and are therefore open to alternative alignments. The same outlet reports that these officials have begun “open talks” with Atiku’s camp, seeking a partnership that could reshape the balance of power within the APC and the broader federal landscape.

The Independent Newspaper Nigeria notes that the move is a response to what it describes as “Wike’s rising influence,” which some APC governors view as a direct threat to their regional strongholds and access to federal resources. While no official list of participating governors has been released, sources indicate that the discussions involve leaders from the North‑East and North‑West zones, regions traditionally aligned with the APC but reportedly feeling sidelined under Tinubu’s administration.

Atiku Abubakar-2010
Atiku Abubakar-2010 (Image: Wikimedia Commons)

Wike’s counter‑move and intra‑party tension

Governor Wike has publicly rejected the notion of a coalition against him. In an interview cited by The Whistler Newspaper, he declared,

“I will tackle Atiku again in 2027,”
underscoring his intent to confront the former president in the upcoming electoral contest. Wike also hinted that his political network extends beyond the PDP, warning that any “Rainbow Coalition” would face a coordinated response.

Adding to the intra‑party friction, Governor Sule, whose full name was not disclosed in the reporting, questioned the essence of Wike’s alleged “Rainbow Coalition” in a statement covered by Politics Nigeria, asking, “What’s the essence of this coalition if it merely seeks to fragment the opposition?” The comment reflects a broader debate within the PDP about the merits of forming broad, cross‑party alliances versus maintaining a unified front.

Implications for the 2027 electoral landscape

If the talks progress, the “Rainbow Coalition” could become a pivotal factor in Nigeria’s 2027 general elections, potentially reshaping the traditional two‑party competition. Analysts cited by the New Telegraph suggest that a successful alliance between disaffected APC governors and Atiku would grant the latter access to entrenched party structures and state resources, enhancing his electoral prospects.

Atiku Abubakar 2023
Atiku Abubakar 2023 (Image: Wikimedia Commons)

Conversely, the coalition could exacerbate existing fissures within the APC, weakening Tinubu’s ability to deliver a cohesive agenda ahead of the next electoral cycle. The Tribune Online reported that Tinubu’s supporters have warned that any defections could be “strategically managed” but acknowledged the risk of a “splintered party” if discontent grows.

While the discussions remain confidential and no formal agreement has been announced, the emergence of the “Rainbow Coalition” narrative illustrates the fluidity of Nigeria’s political alliances. Observers will watch closely for any official statements from Atiku’s camp or the governors involved, as the nation’s political equilibrium continues to evolve ahead of the 2027 polls.